Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#157
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#185
Pace73.0#78
Improvement-1.5#246

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#157
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.3#204

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#157
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.3#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 66   @ Indiana W 90-69 17%     1 - 0 +32.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Nov 16, 2017 15   Auburn L 64-83 10%     1 - 1 -4.3 +7.4 +7.4
  Nov 17, 2017 77   Old Dominion L 44-62 27%     1 - 2 -10.8 +3.6 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2017 196   Ohio L 94-96 4OT 61%     1 - 3 -4.2 -1.1 -1.1
  Nov 25, 2017 170   Ball St. L 85-93 65%     1 - 4 -11.3 -1.7 -1.7
  Nov 29, 2017 223   Air Force W 74-64 76%     2 - 4 +3.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 06, 2017 193   @ North Texas L 76-79 OT 49%     2 - 5 -2.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Dec 12, 2017 266   Green Bay W 85-63 83%     3 - 5 +12.8 -4.6 -4.6
  Dec 16, 2017 71   @ Western Kentucky L 65-81 17%     3 - 6 -5.3 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 22, 2017 242   Elon L 68-73 79%     3 - 7 -12.8 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 28, 2017 155   Valparaiso W 73-64 61%     4 - 7 1 - 0 +6.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Dec 31, 2017 139   @ Illinois St. L 81-84 OT 36%     4 - 8 1 - 1 +1.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 03, 2018 55   @ Loyola Chicago W 61-57 14%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +16.5 +6.3 +6.3
  Jan 06, 2018 162   Drake L 72-75 63%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -5.6 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 10, 2018 123   Northern Iowa W 69-67 55%     6 - 9 3 - 2 +1.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 14, 2018 124   @ Missouri St. L 73-76 32%     6 - 10 3 - 3 +2.5 +2.7 +2.7
  Jan 17, 2018 147   @ Evansville W 71-66 37%     7 - 10 4 - 3 +9.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 20, 2018 139   Illinois St. W 84-54 59%     8 - 10 5 - 3 +28.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 24, 2018 142   @ Southern Illinois L 77-82 36%     8 - 11 5 - 4 -0.7 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 28, 2018 131   Bradley L 73-81 57%     8 - 12 5 - 5 -9.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 31, 2018 155   @ Valparaiso L 63-69 38%     8 - 13 5 - 6 -2.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 03, 2018 123   @ Northern Iowa W 77-66 32%     9 - 13 6 - 6 +16.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Feb 06, 2018 124   Missouri St. L 62-81 55%     9 - 14 6 - 7 -19.6 -0.3 -0.3
  Feb 10, 2018 55   Loyola Chicago L 71-75 29%     9 - 15 6 - 8 +2.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 14, 2018 162   @ Drake L 76-90 39%     9 - 16 6 - 9 -10.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 17, 2018 142   Southern Illinois L 72-76 OT 60%     9 - 17 6 - 10 -5.7 -0.9 -0.9
  Feb 21, 2018 147   Evansville W 58-53 60%     10 - 17 7 - 10 +3.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 24, 2018 131   @ Bradley W 66-64 34%     11 - 17 8 - 10 +7.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Mar 02, 2018 139   Illinois St. L 70-77 47%     11 - 18 -5.5 +0.8 +0.8
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%